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Best States for Solar 2025: Rankings Before Tax Credit Expires Dec 31

⚠️ Tax credit ends Dec 31, 2025! Compare solar incentives, ROI in all 42 states. CA, AZ, FL top rankings. Data from 24K+ installations. Free state-specific analysis.

Best States for Solar 2025: Rankings Before Tax Credit Expires Dec 31
P

Policy Research Team

ProsperShield Regulatory Affairs

December 20, 202315 min read

Best States for Solar 2025: Rankings Before Tax Credit Expires Dec 31

⚠️ FINAL YEAR: The 30% federal solar tax credit expires December 31, 2025, affecting all states. Act now to maximize incentives regardless of your location.

ProsperShield has installed solar systems in 42 states and analyzed ROI, incentives, and policies in each. Here's our definitive 2025 ranking - critical information as the federal tax credit expires. Schedule your free assessment before the deadline.

Top 10 States for Solar (2024 Rankings)

1. California 🥇

Overall Score: 98/100

Why it's #1:

  • Net metering 3.0 still excellent value
  • Perfect weather (high sun exposure)
  • Additional state rebates up to $3,000
  • Property tax exemption
  • Highest electricity rates ($0.30-$0.40/kWh)

Average payback: 5-6 years ROI: 280-350% over 25 years

2. Arizona 🥈

Overall Score: 95/100

Why it excels:

  • 300+ days of sunshine annually
  • Strong net metering policies
  • Equipment sales tax exemption (9.5%)
  • SRP/APS utility rebates
  • Moderate electricity rates

Average payback: 6-7 years ROI: 250-300% over 25 years

3. Florida 🥉

Overall Score: 93/100

Why it's top-tier:

  • Property tax exemption (saves $8,000-$15,000)
  • Sales tax exemption on equipment
  • 237 sunny days per year
  • High electricity rates in summer
  • No state income tax (federal credit still applies)

Average payback: 6.5-7.5 years ROI: 240-290% over 25 years

4. Texas

Overall Score: 91/100

Strengths:

  • Property tax exemption
  • High electricity consumption (AC usage)
  • Multiple utility buyback programs
  • Deregulated market = higher rates
  • Excellent sun exposure

Average payback: 7-8 years ROI: 220-270% over 25 years

5. North Carolina

Overall Score: 90/100

Highlights:

  • 30-year net metering guarantee
  • Property tax exemption (80% system value)
  • Solar friendly building codes
  • Duke Energy incentives
  • Moderate-high electricity rates

Average payback: 7-8 years ROI: 210-260% over 25 years

6. New York

Overall Score: 89/100

Benefits:

  • NY-Sun incentive ($1,000-$5,000)
  • 25-year net metering lock-in
  • Property tax exemption
  • SRECs worth $10-$20 per certificate
  • Sales tax exemption

Average payback: 7-9 years ROI: 200-250% over 25 years

7. Nevada

Overall Score: 88/100

Advantages:

  • 310+ days of sunshine
  • Net metering with 20-year grandfathering
  • Property tax abatement
  • No state equipment tax
  • High summer electricity rates

Average payback: 7-9 years ROI: 195-245% over 25 years

8. Massachusetts

Overall Score: 87/100

Incentives:

  • SMART program ($0.27-$0.36/kWh for 10 years)
  • SREC-II program
  • Property tax exemption
  • Sales tax exemption
  • High electricity rates

Average payback: 6-8 years ROI: 210-270% over 25 years

9. New Jersey

Overall Score: 86/100

Why it ranks high:

  • Strong SREC program
  • Net metering mandated by law
  • Sales tax exemption
  • High electricity costs
  • Successor Solar Incentive Program

Average payback: 7-9 years ROI: 200-250% over 25 years

10. Colorado

Overall Score: 85/100

Advantages:

  • 300 days of sunshine
  • Xcel Energy Solar Rewards
  • Net metering statewide
  • Property tax exemption
  • Clean energy sales tax refund

Average payback: 8-10 years ROI: 180-230% over 25 years

Ranking Methodology

We evaluated states on five criteria:

1. Incentives (30% weight)

  • State tax credits and rebates
  • Property tax exemptions
  • Sales tax exemptions
  • SREC programs

2. Net Metering (25% weight)

  • Policies and rates
  • Duration of agreements
  • Credit rollover rules

3. Electricity Rates (20% weight)

  • Current $/kWh rates
  • Historical increase trends
  • Time-of-use programs

4. Sun Exposure (15% weight)

  • Annual sunny days
  • Solar radiation levels
  • Seasonal variation

5. Regulatory Environment (10% weight)

  • Permitting ease
  • Interconnection speed
  • Pro-solar policies

Regional Analysis

Southwest (Excellent)

States: AZ, NV, NM, UT

  • ✅ Maximum sun exposure
  • ✅ Low installation complexity
  • ⚠️ Lower electricity rates in some areas

Best for: Fastest energy production, highest long-term output

Southeast (Very Good)

States: FL, NC, SC, GA, TX

  • ✅ High electricity usage (AC)
  • ✅ Property tax exemptions
  • ⚠️ Hurricane considerations

Best for: High consumption households, AC-heavy usage

Northeast (Good - Excellent)

States: NY, NJ, MA, CT, PA

  • ✅ SREC programs boost ROI
  • ✅ High electricity rates
  • ⚠️ More seasonal variation

Best for: Homeowners with state SREC programs, high electric rates

Midwest (Good)

States: IL, IN, OH, MI, MO

  • ✅ Competitive electricity rates
  • ✅ Underrated sun exposure
  • ⚠️ Fewer state incentives

Best for: Federal tax credit maximizers, long-term investors

West Coast (Excellent)

States: CA, OR, WA

  • ✅ Strong policy support
  • ✅ High electricity costs (CA)
  • ⚠️ Changing net metering (CA)

Best for: Environmental focus, premium system features

Is Your State Good for Solar?

Every state we operate in offers positive ROI. Here's the minimum you should expect:

Tier 1 States (Top 15):

  • Payback: 5-8 years
  • 25-year ROI: 200-350%
  • Incentive value: $5,000-$15,000+

Tier 2 States (Remaining 27):

  • Payback: 8-12 years
  • 25-year ROI: 150-220%
  • Incentive value: $2,000-$8,000

Bottom line: If we install in your state, solar makes financial sense.

State-Specific Considerations

Before choosing solar, evaluate:

  1. Your electricity rate

    • Break-even point: $0.11/kWh
    • Excellent for solar: $0.15+/kWh
  2. Your roof

    • South-facing is ideal (but not required)
    • Minimal shade from trees/buildings
    • 15+ years of remaining lifespan
  3. Your incentives

    • Federal: 30% through Dec 31, 2025 ONLY ⚠️
    • State: Varies widely
    • Utility: Check your specific provider
    • SREC: Available in 8 states

Frequently Asked Questions

Which state is absolutely best for solar in 2025?

California ranks #1 due to high electricity rates ($0.30-$0.40/kWh), excellent sun exposure, and strong net metering. However, with the federal tax credit expiring December 31, 2025, ALL states become significantly less attractive in 2026. Act now regardless of your state. Check your state's specifics.

Can I still go solar if my state isn't in the top 10?

Absolutely. Every state ProsperShield operates in offers positive ROI - even Tier 2 states provide 150-220% ROI over 25 years. The federal tax credit ($5,000-$10,000) expires December 31, 2025, making 2025 the best year regardless of state ranking. Calculate your exact savings.

How much does my state's ranking matter compared to the federal tax credit?

The federal tax credit ($5,000-$10,000) often exceeds total state incentives. Losing it in 2026 makes even top-ranked states significantly worse. A Tier 2 state in 2025 with the federal credit beats a Tier 1 state in 2026 without it. Install by December 31, 2025 to qualify.

Do cloudy states like Washington really make financial sense for solar?

Yes. Germany (cloudier than Seattle) leads the world in solar. Annual sunlight matters more than daily sunshine. Cool temperatures actually increase panel efficiency. ProsperShield installations in Washington achieve 85-90% of promised production. Explore cloudy climate data.

Will state incentives replace the federal tax credit after 2025?

Unlikely. Most states don't have budgets to replace a $5,000-$10,000 federal credit. Some states may introduce new programs, but they won't match federal levels. This makes 2025 the final year for maximum solar savings. Schedule consultation before deadline.

How quickly do state solar incentives change?

State programs can change quarterly. California's NEM 3.0, Massachusetts' SMART program, and state rebate funds often have caps or deadlines. However, the federal tax credit deadline (Dec 31, 2025) is fixed by law. Get current state data from ProsperShield.

Check Your Exact Incentives - Before the Deadline

Solar incentives change frequently, but the federal deadline is fixed: December 31, 2025. ProsperShield's team tracks:

  • ✅ Federal tax credit deadline (Dec 31, 2025)
  • ✅ State rebate program status
  • ✅ Utility program updates
  • ✅ SREC market rates
  • ✅ Local incentive availability

Want to know your state's exact incentives and ROI before the deadline?


Rankings based on 2025 data from ProsperShield's 24,000+ installations across 42 states. Federal solar tax credit expires December 31, 2025 per the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. State incentives and policies subject to change - contact us for latest information.

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